What’s Really Happening Here?

There is no such thing as public opinion. There is only published opinion. – Winston Churchill

Should we all really be shocked at what occurred in Washington DC on January 6th?

In the last decade we’ve seen far more violent, destructive, and unpatriotic protests in this country than anything that occurred a week ago at the US Capitol. Yet every news report and almost every politician is treating the events of January 6th as if they were the worst thing they’ve ever seen. If the collective response to the events of last week seems a bit over-the-top, that’s because it is. The mainstream reaction is truly theater of the absurd. The 74 million people who voted for Donald Trump are rightfully aggrieved by the statistically incongruous election result. The Democrats and the media are the ones inflaming this half of our citizenry by crassly and disingenuously dismissing these very real statistical anomalies as conspiracy fantasy. In light of the actual conspiracy fantasy the Democrats peddled after the 2016 election (Russian collusion), their loathsome behavior has now become downright hateful and viscerally threatening to half the country. The only “shocking” aspects of the Capitol protest are the relative calm that prevailed with 99.999% of the large crowd in DC that day, and the fact that something far more lethal didn’t happen. Donald Trump’s speech to his supporters earlier that day included nothing new or out of character. It was pure political opportunism for vengeful Democrats and the media to claim that Trump “incited” the incident.

Are Trump’s statements in the last two weeks so far out of character for his established norms that Congress can legitimately (and suddenly) impeach him or invoke the 25^th amendment?

Using the event at the Capitol building last week, Nancy Pelosi and other Democrats are trying to make the case of mental illness/incompetence to remove President Trump from office with only 6 days left in his term. Failing that, they want to remove him from office for insurrection. There is no legitimate reason for this. It is pure malice. This circus sideshow is only possible because of the razor thin margins now existing in the House and Senate. None of Trump’s behavior has been altered in any fashion as to warrant a sudden emergency removal. His statements to his supporters on January 6th were completely consistent with what he’s been saying since the November 3^rd election. Nancy Pelosi’s latest insult binge calling President Trump “…deranged, unhinged, dangerous… ” is rich, particularly since those terms precisely describe her own behavior. She continues to reinforce the fact that Trump is and has been successfully eroding the power of establishment elitists. Her disdain at his successes in building back pride in America and traditional cultural values is evident.

Did Biden really win the election?

Statistical evidence says no, especially in comparison with statistical vote analysis of other recent US Presidential elections. But there was no viable way to prove this in the short time available between November 3^rd and the Electoral College vote on December 16^th. Be that as it may, the science of statistics is not a playful game that can be casually dismissed by Democrat leaders and the media. The numbers don’t lie. When the calculated probability of an event occurring is extremely low, it probably didn’t occur. What caused the statistical anomalies in the 2020 election will eventually be uncovered. However, with Democrats now in control of House and Senate investigative committees, it won’t be quick and it won’t be easy.  

Did the two front running incumbent Senators in Georgia really lose their runoff races?

The answer to this question is not quite as clear as with the Presidential election. For one thing, Senate races are decided by simple majority vote. There is no Electoral College in play as there is for the Presidential race. And unlike the vote on November 3^rd, those who voted in the January 5^th Senate runoff already knew the result of the Presidential race. There was a reasonable probability of lower Republican turnout for the runoff, i.e. voters who were discouraged by the outcome of the Presidential race didn’t vote in the runoff. At the same time, there is also a reasonable probability that the same forces that created the anomalous statistical results for the November 3^rd Presidential election were at work in the January 5^th Senate runoff. Again, this will take time to uncover.

Will a Pelosi/Schumer led House and Senate really be able to install the kind of socialist government that conservatives fear?

We don’t believe so. With the Senate equally divided and the House nearly so, all it will take is one or two votes to either secure or scuttle any legislation. Individual Democrat Senators and House reps now find themselves in positions of tremendous leverage. That will lead to opportunists, particularly on the progressive end of the spectrum, demanding even more for the promise of their vote. And when a piece of legislation is passed, it better be able to withstand Constitutional muster. With a 6-3 conservative Supreme Court, any radical legislation or executive order even close to the boundaries of legality will be challenged.

The next two years (at least) will see some backsliding of the progress Donald Trump made in returning the country back to its conservative founding principles and away from a radical progressive socialist agenda. The Democrats will not only try to replenish the lost power of the establishment elite but also install safeguards so that no future Trump type leader can successfully attack that power base again. We are seeing this play out as we speak, with big corporations such as Twitter and Facebook deleting the accounts of numerous prominent conservatives (including the President) and censoring the speech of others. Google, Amazon, Apple, and YouTube all quickly followed suit by brazenly shutting down access to alternative social media services and censoring users they believe to be Trump supporters. While there is collective outrage over those corporate actions, we believe the behavior of these progressive titans will be self-correcting. Capitalism has a way of punishing corporate decisions that are primarily based on emotion and ignore solid business principles. Should Congress and/or other government officials similarly try to stifle free speech through legislation, they will run into the 6-3 SCOTUS brick wall.

Nancy Pelosi and others tell us that a motivating factor for wanting to impeach and remove President Trump from office with less than a week left in his term is to ensure he can never hold federal office again. Even though Trump was impeached by Congress in 2019, the Senate acquitted him and thus he remains constitutionally eligible for election to a 2nd term. If the Senate were to convict/remove Trump now, that would eliminate the possibility of him running for office again in 2024. This is not a “protective” measure for the rest of us as the Democrats and media would have you believe. It is pure spite, coupled with a resolve not just to defeat, but vaporize their staunchest and most feared political foe. The Democrats realize just how effectively Trump ripped open the protective skin of the elite establishment who they so cherish and safeguard. Trump laid bare just how much of our democratic republic is governed by anonymous liberal bureaucrats who were never elected by the citizenry. The establishment never again wants their concealed underbelly exposed to a Trumpian type predator.

We think the most interesting scenario that may play out in this new year will be how Kamala Harris is “managed” by the Democrat elites. The odds are good Joe Biden will be physically unable to tolerate the the rigors of the Presidency for long. Do the elites want Harris to be President, or just continue as quasi-presidential window dressing for Biden like she has been thus far? Installing Harris as President creates a new set of problems that may be even more difficult for Democrats to deal with than an increasingly non-functional Joe Biden.

Don’t believe for one micro-second that any of the Democrat leadership wants unity with those 74 million Trump voters.  The present course of action to impeach and remove Trump and censor his supporters clearly illustrates their true intent.

The MAGA movement is not going to fade away anytime soon. Thus, we’re not expecting 2021 to be any less dramatic than 2020.