14 Million Missing Democrat Votes

Since election night, dozens of reasons have been given for why Kamala Harris lost the race. In our view, not a single one of them is correct. It is true that Donald Trump expanded voter diversity within his group of supporters. It is also true that Trump’s campaign was much more imaginative and agile than Harris’s. For instance, the genius of the McDonald’s visit, the enormity of the Madison Square Garden rally, and the lightning speed with which the garbage truck ride was arranged were all unmatched by anything Harris’s team could come up with.

But despite all the above, Donald Trump’s vote total in 2024 is going to end up being very close to, or even slightly less, than what he got in 2020. The composition of his voters did change compared to 2020 – he received more Black and Hispanic votes and fewer votes from white women – but his overall total did not increase.

On the other hand, Kamala Harris’s vote total in 2024 is going to be dramatically less than what Joe Biden got in 2020. As of this writing, with most of the national vote already counted, Harris is nearly 14 million votes short of Biden’s 2020 total. That is a massive difference. It is so large of a deficit, it completely overwhelms every other excuse for why she lost. If she had merely received the same number of votes Biden got in 2020, she would have easily beaten Trump.

We can think of only two possible explanations:

First: 14 million Democrat voters disliked Harris so much they simply chose not to vote in this election. If this is true, it presents paradoxes. The first is how in the world did every single polling company miss the fact that 14 million Democrats who voted in 2020 were not intending to vote in 2024? Second, every news media company went balls to the wall reporting a giant (and joyful) groundswell of support for Harris the instant she became the candidate. As they were reporting this, were they totally unaware that more than 17% of the Democrat voter base was so “un-joyful” about Harris they were planning not to vote?

The astonishingly low vote total for Harris relative to Biden is an easily available statistic. The sheer size of this discrepancy puts all the media pundits, as well as Vice President Harris herself, in an extremely uncomfortable position when trying to articulate why she lost. They are loathe to admit that 14 million Democrats simply chose not to vote. That would embarrassingly undercut their entire narrative of Harris’s enthusiastic and passionate support. Also, all of the polls showing Harris leading the popular vote and in a dead heat in all of the swing states would be exposed as pure fiction.

Second: Joe Biden didn’t actually receive 82 million votes in 2020. We know this is pure heresy to some readers, and that we run the risk of being labeled “deniers”. But look at the math for a minute. In 2016, Hillary Clinton received 66 million votes. Kamala Harris has received 68 million votes in this election, a respectable 2 million more than Clinton. Joe Biden got 82 million votes in the COVID-stricken 2020 election. Was Biden really so superior to both Clinton and Harris that 14 million more Democrats voted for him? Keep in mind that Clinton and Harris both ran vigorous campaigns while Biden didn’t campaign at all in 2020 (using COVID as his excuse). It is reasonable to hypothesize that Biden’s true vote total in 2020 was likely much closer to what Clinton and Harris received.

Democrats and the news media certainly can’t subscribe to this possibility. They have irrevocably bound themselves to the notion that 2020 was a fair election free from any fraud. Interestingly, if you give two seconds of consideration to the possibility that some of Biden’s votes in 2020 were fraudulent, it casts Harris’s 2024 performance in a totally different light. It would suddenly make the entire 2024 narrative about Harris’s strong and joyful support from the Democrat base plausibly true. Afterall, she did outperform Clinton, even accounting for some population growth since 2016.

It will be fun to continue to hear all the excuses and rationalization as to why Harris lost. Our bet is that few Democrats, if any, will acknowledge the plain and simple fact of 14 million missing voters.